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Some of the material in is restricted to members of the community. By logging in, you may be able to gain additional access to certain collections or items. If you have questions about access or logging in, please use the form on the Contact Page.
Understanding and predicting the evolution of the tropical cyclone (TC) inner-core continues to be a major research focus in tropical meteorology. Eyewall slope and its relationship to intensity and intensity change is one example that...
The advent of ensembles permits forecasters to have an implied level of confidence based upon the level of (dis)agreement among those ensembles. However, there are occasionally situations where the ensemble members may agree but be in...
Extratropical transition, or ET, can be characterized by the transformation of an initially symmetric, warm-core tropical cyclone into an initially cold-core, asymmetric extratropical cyclone. As a consequence of undergoing transition, ...
While coastal areas along the United States Atlantic and Gulf Coasts have become increasingly accustomed to dealing with landfalling hurricanes and tropical storms, populations further inland can often be surprised by powerful storms...
Ensemble model data can provide a wealth of guidance to forecasters, especially in terms of forecast confidence. A model run where members diverge generally corresponds to a low confidence forecast, while a model run where members...
As understanding of tropical cyclone (TC) evolution both during and beyond the tropical phase improves, forecasting and analysis techniques are adjusted accordingly. While these changes hopefully lead to more accurate forecasts, they...
Tropical cyclone track forecasts have improved greatly in recent years. However, intensity forecasts still pose a large problem in tropical meteorology. Several theories have been developed over the past fifty years which attempt to...
While tropical cyclone (TC) track forecasting has improved noticeably over the last twenty years, intensity forecasting has remained somewhat of an enigma to forecasters. Despite increased computing capabilities and more sophisticated...
Idealized three-dimensional numerical simulations of deep moist convection in the presence of a symmetric midlevel vortex are analyzed to understand the evolution of system-scale vertical vorticity during the very early stages of...
There has been great energy focused on tropical cyclone intensity forecasting over the past thirty years. Toward the goal of providing more accurate intensity forecasts, the role of the environment of a tropical storm has been studied at...
The lack of satellite imagery prior to 1966 and limited aircraft reconnaissance has led to an indefinite number of tropical cyclones (TCs) in the Atlantic Basin remaining undetected by traditional surface observational networks. As a...
Some of the material in is restricted to members of the community. By logging in, you may be able to gain additional access to certain collections or items. If you have questions about access or logging in, please use the form on the Contact Page.
